Thinking Aloud: World’s Islamic Population to Match Christian Population By 2050

Apr. 5, 2015 by Darius

According to a new study by the Pew Research Center, the world’s Muslim population will approach the world’s Christian population in size by 2050 for the first time in history.  Actually, looking at the list of countries projected by the UN to be the ten most populous in 2050, I’m surprised the world’s Muslim population won’t catch up sooner.

Here’s what the UN predicts the 10 most populous countries will be in 2050 (assuming the medium fertility estimate):

  1. India
  2. China
  3. Nigeria
  4. United States
  5. Indonesia
  6. Pakistan
  7. Brazil
  8. Bangladesh
  9. Ethiopia
  10. Philippines

Of those, four (Nigeria, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Bangladesh) are Muslim-majority countries.  In addition, Ethiopia has a very large Muslim minority, about 33%, and India’s Muslim population, though small percentage-wise (~15%), still numbers in the hundreds of millions.

Unfortunately, Nigeria and Pakistan currently have not only large and growing populations but also large and growing problems with Islamist terrorism.  Adding more people will strain government resources and won’t make an end to these conflicts any easier.

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